Worrying trend reversal. After several months in the green, indicators of wage guarantee scheme (AGS, the employers' organization which pays wages and severance payments of bankrupt firms) have almost all switched back into the red the first three months of this year. A result of concern that does not bode well for the situation of companies in the aftermath of the second round of the presidential election

.

The AGS notes and "the provisional figures of the first quarter 2012 (ended March 31) already indicate an increase in the number of bankruptcy." No fewer than 4,000 cases have been opened between early January and late March, representing a significant increase of 6% compared to first quarter 2011. The AGS, which is funded by a mandatory contribution of 0.3% of payroll for all companies, still observed a decrease of about 15% of openings in bankruptcy late last year ….. ……

This observed increase of 6% in early 2012 is identical in terms of the number of backup procedures and recorded the number of beneficiaries. So that 12-month rolling the number of employees who received the AGS rose 0.2%, to be around 265,000 people. As for the total amount advanced for a year (wages, notice and / or indemnities companies in backup procedure and then declared in liquidation / receivership), it has also advanced 0.3% to reach almost 2 billion euros. Only positive of this blackboard of the French economy, the amount of recovered debts from businesses assisted (AGS is repayable advances) rose sharply, by 3.3% in annual development. It now stands at almost 700 million euros.

Essentially TPE

There is however little change on the size of companies that use the backup regime. This is still an overwhelming majority of small establishments. Less than 10% of collective proceedings opened in 2011 were indeed concerned companies over 20 employees. More than eight out of ten cases treated were for companies with fewer than 10 employees.

According to data as of March 31, the Rhône-Alpes, Provence-Alpes-Cote d'Azur, Ile de France and Aquitaine still focus 40% of backup procedures started rolling 12 months. The AGS note, however, "significant increases" the number of procedures in the Pays de la Loire, in Picardy, in the Midi-Pyrenees or in Lorraine.

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"Market analysts estimate that the main candidates for future elections continue to show a clear commitment on public finances and reducing deficits. Investors still have confidence in our debt, "assured the FigaroPhilippe Mills, head of Agence France Trésor, the end of January. Debt, however this is a word we have heard since long in the mouth of the two favorites for the 2012 elections, Nicolas Sarkozy and Francois Hollande.

The gigantic figure announced Friday morning by INSEE – 1.7173 trillion euros, or 85.8% of GDP-has something to put the subject at the heart of the debate. And makes an urgent exercise of teaching on how to control deficits and debt, in a context where electoral promises are multiplying. The French in need, who have a concern, as investors continue to regard France as a country whose debt is reliable. And therefore, to lend to Paris to lower interest rate. For the record, this is partly because she did not see how the Hexagon was able to return to the nails of Maastricht that the rating agency Standard & Poor's had deprived him of his AAA mid-January free 3-in-1 credit report.

The right-wing candidate Nicolas Sarkozy promises "a financial closure to the nearest euro" of its program for the next five years if elected. He will detail next week. His rival from left, Francois Hollande, is vague on how to finance a project already well exposed. Just know that it is more by tax increases that cost savings that the Socialist candidate intends to restore order in the French public accounts.

For that stabilizes the debt, the deficit must be approaching 2% (against 5.2% in 2011). France does not expect that to happen before 2014. And to achieve this, efforts will be very important. It is therefore understandable that candidates avoid stress this enough sobering perspective …

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CEO of the Caisse des Depots since 2007, Augustin de Romanet takes stock of his term as head of the financial institution publique.Il defends a vision of long-term, theme also of his book, "Not to thirty painful" , to be published next month by Plon.

LE FIGARO. – March 2007-March 2012, your tenure as head of the Deposit has been essentially that of crisis management?

Augustine ROMANET – The first thing I did upon arriving was to establish a strategic plan, the first for twenty-five years! This plan was conceived before the outbreak of the crisis, which was a chance: we had in effect given to this house a solid foundation and then through the turbulence. If the five years of my term were five years of crisis in the Deposit, then this is the etymological sense: krino, reinte? Prevention.

How have you adapted to the CDC this time of crisis?

In 2007, it was obvious that the economy of debt had reached its limits. We have defined ourselves as a long term investor, a term that might seem strange. It was taken by the Act of August 4, 2008 and came into common parlance. The mission of the Deposit is one that expresses its social utility, the provider of capital to long term, the first in the country through its various tools. We also have modernized the governance of the institution for its action is no longer subject to suspicion.

The bailouts of Dexia, the down payment in the Post, the interventions of the Strategic Investment Fund (ISF)? CDC does she not done too much, at the expense of financial security?

No. The Deposit is not weakened. Its capital is now greater than 2 billion euros to what it was in 2006. However, they are now just below the level set by the supervisory model, which has just been arrested. This means that the CDC must make choices. Through the savings fund, it is the largest financer of social housing. It will become a major player in financing local government, with the Post Bank. It is the largest investor in the territories, the majority shareholder of ISP and 26% shareholder in the La Poste group and 27% of OSEO. It will be a key player in the Greater Paris, through Icade and Egis. She manages on behalf of the State 8 programs of large loan? It is not a vision that eluded him.

Does the ISP also been at full strength? The state or parliamentarians might have wished that more intervention. Did you have to refuse certain files?

The debates were sometimes harsh. But at no time, as chairman of the board of the ISP, I had to put the state in the minority. We always found a consensus. The interest of companies brought together the State and the CDC in this tool is an outstanding success.

Beyond the ISP, what were your relations with the state?

They are reminiscent of rugby: it's not because the contacts are honest and manly that it is not a sport of gentlemen fast cash advance. That the Deposit respects the State, it is natural, but the state also met the Deposit during these five years.

The CDC will announce she losses for 2011?

No. It will be beneficial, probably close to 200 million euros, despite the loss of Dexia. This is good news. I add that no longer exists on the balance sheet of the institution any impairment that would have been deferred.

How Dexia Will it cost in total to the CDC? Do you have any regrets about the management of this file?

The Taking-is not coming. Dexia maintains a value, and I will not speculate on his future today. Regarding the past, even if mistakes were made, I refuse to take the easy way of anachronism, to rewrite the history of Dexia before his first save of 2008. And I assume, for having sustained the strategy? CARRYING since.

You were a candidate for a second term. How did you feel the decision of Nicolas Sarkozy not to renew?

Probably because I am attached to this institution, I felt this moment with surprising emotion, as I had convinced myself that I did not own my post. The decision, I always say, is the President of the Republic. So I did not comment on it. I leave calm, and proud of the work.

CEO of the Caisse des Depots is a political post?

Yes, of course! In the best sense. The policy, it is the duty of the synthesis of opposing views in search of general interest. It is also the action. At the Deposit, which combine the financial strength, the diversity of stakeholders and quality of staff, the task is exhilarating.

Are you running for the leadership of CNP Assurances?

I have personally expressed to each member of the Appointments Committee.

As a director of Veolia Environnement, were you in favor of the appointment of Jean-Louis Borloo at the head of this business? Have you supported the approach of Proglio who also chairs the Nominating Committee of NPC?

I resigned from the Board of Veolia on February 29. The suspicion that some sort of Faustian pact with Proglio is unfounded and insulting to him and for me.

What recommendation would you give to your successor?

Research of general interest means being responsive to all stakeholders of the company, the actors of the social economy to the leaders of the CAC 40, the elected leaders of rural communities to SWFs the planet, it should be remembered that they manage resources to invest in our country.

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"Deposit: number two provide the acting

Car sales in the U.S. reached their highest level in four years last month. Nearly 1.15 million vehicles were sold, 15.7% higher than February last year, according to figures from Autodata firm. The latter states that annualized seasonally adjusted, this represents 15.1 million vehicles. The most since February 2008!

While gasoline prices rose 10% in February compared with January, the fuel efficient cars are spared Thurs Toyota, for example, recorded better results than expected with sales up 12.4%, with an increase of 52% for the Prius and 60% for all of its hybrid models of all brands. Figures from other Japanese manufacturers are also very well oriented: Honda saw its sales rise 12.3% to 110,157 units and Nissan from 15.5% to 106,731 vehicles.

For his part, General Motors, which has just completed an agreement with the French PSA, recorded 1.1% growth in sales year on year to 209,306 vehicles. This figure exceeds expectations, while leaders of the global market leader company provide a good year in 2012. The Chevrolet brand door activity, while sales of its big Cadillac erode by 27%. Ford sales up 14% year on year, reaching 179,119 units, with a doubling of sales for the Focus. Those of Chrysler, the number three in the U.S. market, even soar by 40%, to 133,521 vehicles. The group controlled by Italy's Fiat said it is the 23rd consecutive month of sales, with a growth rate exceeding 20% ​​for nine consecutive months cash till payday.

Market shares redistributed Chrysler start, GM back

With the surge in sales, the Chrysler brand has seen its U.S. market share grow to 11.3% against 9.6% last year. Conversely, that of General Motors declined to 18.2% against 20.8% a year earlier, as Ford has eroded to 15.5% against 15.7%, while Toyota was down to 13 , 9% against 14.3%, while Honda was down 9.6% against 9.9% and Nissan remained stable at 9.3%, according to data from Autodata.

Common to all manufacturers: their optimism for the coming year. Besides the economic upturn, they emphasize the need for replacement of vehicles in which the average age is high.

"If gasoline prices continue to rise, people will perhaps reduce their discretionary spending, but if employment improves, they will need to buy cars to work," noted Jenny Lin, Ford economist. For his part, Don Johnson, GM, concludes: "We do not believe that short-term fluctuations in gasoline prices will stop rising sales of GM and the industry in a better position that three years ago. "

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The streets of Athens and Thessaloniki were ablaze in the night, when MPs voted in favor of a new austerity plan. After heated debates within the precincts of Parliament, the austerity measures imposed by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund was adopted by a majority of 199 votes out of 300 MPs, including 278 in attendance. The pressure weighed heavily on the members. In fact, the leaders of the Socialist Party and the rightist New Democracy, meeting within the ruling coalition, have warned that they radieraient members of their camps who would vote against the text. Of the 236 deputies concerned, a score of 21 members of socialist and right were therefore excluded from the ranks after the parliamentary vote.

Before the vote, the Greek prime minister, Lucas Papademos, had also hammered the Greek deputies "will take responsibility" and "define the most important choice" for Greece, "move to Europe and the single currency" . Government members have indeed hammered if the austerity plan was not passed, the country would be forced to declare themselves insolvent and out in the longer term the euro. Athens must indeed pay 14.5 billion euros in March, but its coffers are empty. Troika has called for new austerity measures in exchange for the release of its indispensable assistance of 130 billion. After the vote tonight, the Eurogroup could meet on Wednesday to give the green light to disburse it. Also requested consideration by private creditors, which should reduce the 100 billion euro debt.

Specifically, the measures include the reduction of health spending (1.06 billion), military (300 million) and reduced wages for young and pensions. A cocktail that does not pass to the people, who began hitting the streets in the afternoon yesterday. By late evening, scenes of chaos were observed in Athens on the sidelines of the anti-austerity, which gathered 80,000 people according to police, during which 54 participants were injured and buildings and shops burned. In Salonika, 20,000 demonstrators were reported damaged and six banks. Greek Prime Minister condemned these events, noting that "violence and destruction that have no place in democracy."

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LE FIGARO. – Apple is expected to become world number one personal computer in 2012, according to Canalys.Finally, the HP brand is indisputably linked to our PC.

Why start the Slate 2, your second tablet, sold off after the TouchPad?

We will return on the market shelves. The Slate 2 sign our return. We stopped using the products that our operating system WebOS. We will return in 2012. We will have an Internet Tablet that will use Windows 8 Microsoft.

A tablet is it comparable to a PC?

Not at this time. Internet tablets are mainly used to consume media and e-mails. If you want to use productivity software such as Microsoft, you can not do. Our studies show that this is an additional purchase that does not encroach on the PC market.

Worse, the agency confirmed that the withdrawals were higher than inflows. In October, the balance is negative to the tune of 1.4 billion euros. It is, indeed, a little less bad than a month earlier. In September, withdrawals have exceeded payments of more than 1.8 billion euros.But above all it confirms that life insurance through a bad patch with unprecedented for the first time two consecutive months of negative collection cash advance america.

Questioned by AFP, the FFSA wants to be reassuring. "Let us not forget that these are data points. If you look from the beginning of the vision is very different, "cautions Bernard Spitz, President of the FFSA, underlining that the payments exceed 17.7 billion euros withdrawals in the first ten months of 2011 . A figure that compared to last year's data with the same period, however, shows a precipitous drop of 63%, the statement of the FFSA.

Pensions of baby boomers

These results reflect a combination never seen before, the structural and cyclical factors unfavorable. Life insurance suffers from the retirement of baby boomers. These offset the drop in income by drawing on their life insurance.

Last month, the government has activated for the first time a special support fund created in late 2010 for the departments in need. The beneficiaries are seven departments (six rural) whose debt is massive, and revenues, almost entirely absorbed by the distribution of welfare. Hitherto considered the spoiled children of decentralization, regions require the State to review the financing of rail, now they consider "untenable" for their budgets low interest rate personal loans.

The alarm level is reached. In ten years, spending communities have increased by 60%, and local taxes, 45%! These figures are staggering.Whose fault? A lax politicians and poor managers who prefer to treat their customers (36,000 hiring officials last year when the state removed 34,000 positions)? The lack of political will of the state, hostage to local barons? Bankers incendiary? To have the heart net, Le Figaro Magazine has plunged into the accounts of local authorities, was shelled and analyzed partnered with the Thomas More Institute and Public Evaluation System.Inspiring!

"Cities: heat stroke on taxes (pdf)

"Departments: the weight of social spending (the Ain to the Haute-Garonne)

"Departments: the weight of social spending (the Gers in Puy-de-Dôme)

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The next step should come from Brussels. The European Commission said Friday that it would present "in the days to come" proposals for a coordinated recapitalization, which should help to reassure markets worried about the resilience of the European banking system to the crisis. It could soon make its findings on Monday.The European Banking Supervisors (EBA) should also provide estimates of the impact of a sharp depreciation of the Greek debt on bank balance sheets.

With these data in the hands of the leaders arrive for summit of the European Union and the euro area provided 17 and 18 October in Brussels. They will then give a "clear signal" on the subject, said Angela Merkel. The idea is to display a "consensus" on the amount and schedule for building banks' capital. For we must recognize that, as regards the amounts, blur still dominates: the figure of 100 billion to inject capital is the most commonly cited, which is much less than 200 billion euros mentioned a few days ago even by the IMF free business cards.

The next step in the operational implementation of the European financial stability should have been ratified by all parliaments by mid-October: Malta decides before Monday Slovakia on Tuesday. Aid to Greece will be released.

"Acting quickly"

Throughout this long process, Europe should remain under pressure. In recent days, Obama has returned several times to the load on the resolution is too slow for his liking of the crisis in the eurozone. European leaders must "act quickly," pleaded the U.S. president, hoping that a "very concrete plan of action" would be presented.He believes that the crisis in Europe could have a "very real" in the United States.

For her part, Angela Merkel last week has dampened hopes for a reform of the international monetary system from the G20, saying the work on this subject will not be completed. But the Cannes summit will probably be enough to do with the subject of the European crisis.

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The new rescue plan foresees an expansion of European powers of the fire in the euro area, the Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), and increased its capacity from 440 to 780 euros milliarsd. "The German MPs have overwhelmingly demonstrated their sense of responsibility," responded the French Minister for European Affairs, Jean Leonetti, in a statement.

Of 611 votes cast, 523 of 620 deputies voted "for", said the chairman of the meeting Norbert Lammert. Only 85 deputies voted against and three abstaining.As expected, two of the three opposition parties, the Social Democrats (SPD) and Greens, have made their voices.

More importantly, 315 members of the coalition voted for the building according to the AFP and a Conservative MP quoted by Reuters. Clearly, Merkel would not have needed the votes of the opposition guaranteed high risk personal loans. This was not a foregone conclusion, the majority having spread its divisions, the previous weeks on this subject.

If the Chancellor had failed to gather his troops, the German government would have been seriously destabilized, fueling doubts about the survival of the coalition. Angela Merkel would have indeed been "made in Germany as a loser," said Holger Schmieding, of Berenberg Bank.

Germany is the eleventh country to approve the reform of the rescue plan initially set up in 2010 to assist countries in the euro area in need.Berlin, because of its predominant economic weight in Europe, will be the first contributor.

The vote of the Bundestag is the first in a series of three crucial. In the coming weeks, he will speak on a second plan of aid to Greece and early 2012, on a permanent rescue mechanism (MES) to succeed the EFSF.

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