"There is no question that I invest in this action. There is no visibility. They mastered neither the personnel nor the cost of oil prices. They face strong competition from other companies, "said one portfolio manager bad credit payday advance. This opinion, indeed radical, summarizes the weariness of many managers who do not want to invest in Air France KLM.

The numbers speak for themselves. Market capitalization is more than 1.67 billion euros, less than 7% of annual sales and less than 25% of equity. The group is in any case weighed down by a net debt of 6 billion euros.

Until then, Bercy expected a GDP growth of 1.75% in 2012. But since the beginning of summer, the situation has deteriorated considerably. "For the sake of seriousness, we decided to lower our forecast to 1% next year," said Nicolas Sarkozy, who is aligned and the assumption by our German neighbor.And, near the line thickness, on the average forecast of economists (0.9%).

To keep the deficit targets despite this deterioration – and this is the top priority – must be found "6-8000000000" euros in savings or additional tax revenue next year, said Chief of the state.

Nicolas Sarkozy has asked Prime Minister Francois Fillon, with Valérie Pécresse (Budget) and Baroin (Economics), floor of the copy. And this new austerity program will be announced "in ten days," just after the G20 which takes place in Cannes.

What is certain is that "we must spend less on operating and investment to support growth (…).But calling for a tax harmonization with Germany, the president did not rule out the idea of ​​raising the reduced rate (set at 7% across the Rhine at home against 5.5%) or the introduction of an intermediate VAT rate (between 5.5% and 19.6%) for products now subject to a reduced rate (catering, building …)

It announces clearly no "social VAT" – renamed "VAT antidélocalisation" to the UMP – hypothesis was raised in the procession of the tracks in the study. He implicitly endorsed the idea but has returned to the next presidential debate "in a few months."

However, companies should be tapped. Address the tax differential between multinationals and SMEs is a carrier. It is almost assumed that the new austerity plan will include a surcharge of corporate tax targeted at large enterprises.

Despite the difficult conditions of funding and the increased reluctance of banks, the French operator has not given up the sale. The facts seem to prove him right, a dozen candidates who have passed the process of selling the asset.But the arrival of Xavier Niel somewhat diversified profile of potential buyers. So far, the majority of applications related investment funds: Apax, Providence, EQT, Bain Capital, Liberty Global, Doughty Hanson and Carlyle separately and Altice, Numéricable shareholders.

Support of Goldman Sachs

Xavier Niel, the head of the Iliad, the 297th ranked Fortune Global Forbes, meanwhile intervene personally. The Egyptian billionaire Naguib Sawiris politician, former CEO of the operator Orascom is also in the race. Faced with these heavyweights of finance, the French entrepreneur has joined forces with the U.S. bank Goldman Sachs, report echoes.

"At 2 billion Swiss francs (1.6 billion euros, Ed), Orange Switzerland is valued six times its gross operating profit on the stock exchange more than 3.8 times that of France Telecom," the daily explains.A premium is explained by the fact that the sale of Orange Switzerland is the only major operation in progress on the Old Continent now, and that France Telecom has commissioned ahead of banks, including Credit Suisse, HSBC, JP Morgan, to prepare a financing plan ahead in order to facilitate the implementation of the operation.

At the second round of bidding, all filings seem to hold the interest of the French operator, since no application has yet been ruled out.

ALSO READ:

"France Telecom will sell its Swiss subsidiary

"The merger between Orange and Sunrise in Switzerland compromised

In that context very high voltage, a parade could be a battle plan based on that 2008.The rumors for weeks on a recapitalization by the state of all French banks. The Sunday Journal Sunday evoked an injection of 10 or 15 billion euros. At its off the plane from Washington, the Minister of Economy, French Baroin furiously opposed to "the most categorical denial." Same reaction at the Elysee and the Bank of France. Such an operation would be "useless, or even against-productive," said a source familiar with the matter. For now, anyway, "banks do not want it, they are not in a logic of solidarity, but prefer to play their own cards." The "special case" of Franco-Belgian Dexia, in the words of the governor of the Banque de France, is the subject of specific thoughts.Started in late 2008, the restructuring could involve an alliance with Caisse des Depots et La Banque Postale in the field of financing local authorities (our editions of September 23), but without dismantling or modification of the shareholders, Dexia said.

Maintain and adapt

Rather than a recapitalization, institutions such as the authorities prefer to place a battle plan: take and adapt. Friday, Bloomberg TV, the governor of the Banque de France, Christian Noyer, reiterated his confidence in the strength of French institutions. However, it has raised its requirements: all French banks will have to comply, from 1 January 2013, new prudential regulations known as "Basel 3", that is to say six years ahead of schedule. The effort required is considerable.All things being equal, the transition to Basel 3 means a financial institution that it should, about four times its equity. In fact, banks will reduce the volume and level of risk of their assets and their businesses, so that the capitalization is less effort. The banked profits and payment of stock dividends must achieve the required level. For three years, the sector in France has already accumulated 50 billion euros of additional capital. The line of defense erected by the European Central Bank, whose windows are wide open cash to banks in the euro zone, is also a key element of the device.

"But we're not crazy," says a source familiar with the matter. The possibilities of slippage are many, starting with one that Greece would go bankrupt.Better to be prepared for any eventuality and have a plan B shares at any time, ideally in a European context. Tools that were used by the state in 2008 to recapitalize banks and guarantee their loans have not been dismantled, they can return to duty at any time.

ALSO READ:

"The state would have prepared a plan to rescue banks

"Why do French banks toast

"Access to distrust of French banks

This mechanism, which takes its name from the famous dance that was all the rage in the 1960s, had just been used for the last time in 1961. Its objective is to reduce interest rates in the long run to give a boost to business investment and the demand for housing loans, which use these rates as reference.

The Fed, however, chose not to touch interest rates that determine the short-term rates. They remain between 0% and 0.25%.And they will remain at historically low levels until mid-2013, said a statement.

Market disappointment

In addition to this twist, and in order to support the mortgage market, the Fed will also buy real estate securities without increasing the size of its portfolio. For this, it will continue to reinvest the securities-backed real estate it owns as they fall due. But the FOMC said, instead of buying Treasury bonds as it did previously, she will buy securities backed by mortgage-agency mortgage refinancing para as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

This double operation shows that the Federal Reserve, the economy remains very depressed. The Fed also believes that global economic growth will remain slow.Conclusions that are similar to those of the IMF, which announced Tuesday it had seen very sharp fall in its growth forecast for the U.S., in theory at a level insufficient to expect a decline in the unemployment rate, which remains very high to 9.1%.

On Wall Street, where the launch of Operation Twist was widely anticipated, the operators retain the gloomy perspective of the Central Bank on the economy. Shortly after the news release of the Fed, the Dow Jones was digging his losses and gave up 1.10% at 11,283 points.

ALSO READ:

"The Fed is worried openly about the growth

"Obama attacks the U.S. budget deficit

"SPECIAL CRISIS: fear of debt

The Europeans hoped "a dialogue between friends," the Americans had "no arrogance." Las. With the destabilization of markets and growing concern on both sides of the Atlantic, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner, could not resist lecturing his seventeen counterparts in the euro area gathered Friday to Wroclaw (Poland).

The relief provided by five central banks – including the U.S. Fed – banks in the euro area will not long concealed the absence of concerted policy response to the crisis. On behalf of the Europeans, the President of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker declined projects Tim Geithner, citing "differences in approach with our American colleagues."Treasury Secretary, he has put his finger where the euro hurts: he publicly expressed concern "of the conflict between governments and the European Central Bank," a week after the sensational resignation of the Chief Economist of the ECB .

Barack Obama's America, soon launched a presidential campaign, fearing a collapse of Greece, a contagion to European banks and a possible fracture of the euro area. If the crisis deepens, it is the U.S. economy would suffer the backlash, shock reverse of that which had hit Europe after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008.

The first message in Washing-ton is to push the Europeans to speak with one voice and act decisively. "Governments and the Central Bank should work together (…) to avoid catastrophic risks for financial markets," said Treasury Secretary.And he insists, denouncing the cacophony that destabilizes the common currency: "Everyone should also abstain from loose talk about the end of the euro area." Targeted: the proponents of expulsion from Greece …

Denial of a tax on financial transactions

The unprecedented invitation launched by Poland – host country because currently presiding the EU – Timothy Geithner had anything to embarrass, in turmoil, the finance ministers of the euro. We saw Baroin host the head of U.S. Treasury of a strong handshake in Wroclaw. But the Euro has carefully kept at a distance. He has not formally participated in the circle, but a "preliminary conversation" about an hour. Contrary to custom, he did not sent to journalists.To tell his truths to Europe, he preferred an audience of bankers in another part of town.

Some did not take gloves to say that Europe has no lessons to learn. The United States, collapsing under the deficits should put their own house, says the Belgian Didier Reynders. "America has nothing to dictate when the person refuses flatly our suggestions," added the Austrian Maria Fekter. It is true that Tim Geithner repeated Friday his opposition front to the tax on financial transactions carried to Paris, Berlin and Brussels.

Decisions deferred

For the second time in eight days, Treasury Secretary left Europe empty-handed. Friday, the Europeans have made a face at her suggestion to "leverage" means the EFSF, the bailout fund for countries of the euro in difficulty."This is not a subject that is discussed with a country outside the EU," Jean-Claude Juncker meant. Same end of inadmissibility of the American idea of ​​supporting the growth of public funds "even a donkey does not stumble twice on the same stone, 'says Didier Reynders, convinced of the urgency to fight first against the deficits.

For the Americans as to Europeans, the European event in Wroclaw ends with a disturbing sense of incompleteness, even for emergencies. The Eurogroup has pushed to mid-October a decision on payment of 8 billion euros to Greece. He did not reach an agreement on guarantees that Finland requires Greece.

On Monday, the New York Stock Exchange ended in the green while Rome had asked China to buy the Italian debt. The salvation of the euro area could therefore eventually come from China. Forced to borrow at prohibitive rates Monday morning, Rome had in fact asked Beijing to make significant repurchases of its sovereign debt, reports the Financial Times. A member of the Italian government confirmed on Monday the existence of discussions with the Middle Kingdom on potential investments in Beijing in the third largest economy in the euro area.But this morning, market rumors suggest that Beijing is not finally ready to buy Italian bonds, taking again the indices into the red in Europe.

Faced with these contradictory information, caution remains appropriate today. In addition, U.S. carriers, such as Europe and Asia, remain very concerned about Greece. They fear it will not be able to meet these budget commitments, which threaten to bankrupt the country and aggravate the crisis in Europe. An output of the euro in Greece is also now considered by many economists.

This morning Jean-Pierre Jouyet, chairman of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF), said on iTV that Greece may have to undergo further restructuring of its debt than expected.German side, Angela Merkel is trying to catch up about his Economy Minister Philipp Rösler, who spoke Monday the event of a default of Athens. In a radio interview BBB, the Chancellor found it necessary to "avoid any uncontrolled process in the euro area."

The United States involved in resolving the crisis in the eurozone

The United States also stressed that they became involved in resolving the crisis in the eurozone, as the Treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner will participate Friday in the meeting of Ministers of Economy and Finance Union European Poland.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro was down slightly Tuesday against the dollar and the yen on Monday after falling $ 1.35 for the first time since February and the lowest for 10 years against the yen, and the voltage was strong, the markets fear more a possible failure of Greece no teletrek payday advance.Around 11 am, the European currency was worth 1.3608 dollars against 1.3624 dollars.

As for oil prices, they were mixed, helped by a relative weakening of the dollar-weighted but the latest projections of OPEC anticipates a lower than expected growth in demand for crude because of the nervousness of the markets. In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" gave himself 80 cents to 88.99 dollars a barrel while Brent North Sea, more sensitive to economic conditions in Europe, gave 52 cents to 112 , $ 25.

On the macroeconomic front, investors will monitor including import prices to be unveiled in late afternoon.

Samsung attack Apple

The side of values, Hewlett-Packard announced on Tuesday that 41.62% of the shareholders of Autonomy British had supported his bid.The U.S. group also announced it was extending its offer until Oct. 3.

The giant South Korean electronics Samsung Electronics filed a complaint in France against its U.S. rival Apple for a litigation involving three patents relating to UMTS technology. "The complaint focuses on three technology patents, and not the design of the shelves," as was the case during a recent trial in Germany, said a spokesman for Samsung.

Rating agencies could worsen them.Moody's has indeed said yesterday that it planned to degrade the note by the McGraw-Hill, who announced his intention to focus on competing rating agency Standard and Poor's division after educational activities.

For his part Nordson Corp. announced yesterday after the close had authorized a share repurchase program of $ 100 million.

Note also the U.S. internet group AOL has appointed a new editor for TechCrunch, the site of information on technologies he had bought in September 2010, after 10 days of controversy over the fate of the former owner, Michael Arrington . The new editor is Erick Schonfeld, Associate Editor edited by Michael Arrington. AOL announced that Michael Arrington, founder of the site, decided to leave TechCrunch and AOL to devote to investment funds that it recently launched.

Nearly $ 200 billion of securities

The FHFA criticizes all of these institutions have sold financial products backed by mortgages on the two parastatals of mortgages Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, between 2005 and 2008. At the time, the banks had facilitated access to loans of U.S. households to recruit new customers and sell homes often too expensive betting on rising prices.The system had finally collapsed during the summer of 2008, taking with it Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac.

The FHFA estimate that the seventeen banks have concealed certain characteristics of the securities they sold, including lying about reality checks on the creditworthiness of borrowers households. "The complaints allege violations of federal law governing financial assets and rights (common law) in the sale of securities backed by residential mortgages designed by these institutions," said the FHFA.

All the losses by the two organizations, which then 40% of the outstanding loans granted to the United States is estimated at 30 billion.Placed under public guardianship, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have so far cost $ 170 billion to American taxpayers.

The FHFA was assessed for each of the banks in the dollar amount of securities sold to two giants of credit (see box). In total, nearly $ 200 billion of securities that were sold. Most involved, the JPMorgan U.S. (United States) would have sold itself for more than $ 33 billion of securities. Societe Generale for its part would have yielded $ 1.3 billion.

"Fannie and Freddie knew"

The complaint of the Federal Agency is expected to lead to negotiations and a financial agreement to avoid a trial. In all cases, the procedure could be very expensive institutions in question, particularly in the largest U.S. bank by assets, Bank of America.The group should in fact not only defend his own actions, not the worst according to the FHFA, but also the mortgage lender Countrywide and investment bank Merrill Lynch, bought in 2008 make quick cash. Last June, the U.S. bank said it had agreed to pay $ 8.5 billion to end the prosecution of several investors and intended to spend an additional provision of $ 5.5 billion to clear the situation with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. The Wall Street Journal fell when it was the agreement to compensate the largest ever signed. The group also announced on the night of Friday to Saturday it plans to reduce its workforce by 10%, equivalent to the elimination of 30,000 positions.

The defensive line of Bank of America today is that Fannie and Freddie knew very well what they were doing."They said they understand the risks" and "now seek to hold other market operators to be responsible for their losses," the group said in a statement.

Regarding the French bank Societe Generale, no figures were given, but the injury is considered "important" by the Federal Housing Finance.

Amount of securities sold by banks

1. JPMorgan (USA): more than $ 33 billion

2. Royal Bank of Scotland (UK): more than 30.4 billion

3. Countrywide (United States, Bank of America): about 26.6 billion

4. Merrill Lynch (United States, Bank of America): more than 24.9 billion

5. Deutsche Bank (Germany): more than 14.2 billion

6. Credit Suisse (Switzerland): over 14.1 billion

7. Goldman Sachs (USA): more than 11.1 billion

8.Morgan Stanley (USA): more than 10.6 billion

9. HSBC (UK): more than 6.2 billion

10. Ally (USA, formerly GMAC): over 6 billion

10. Bank of America (USA): over 6 billion

12. Barclays (UK): about 4.9 billion

13. Citigroup (USA): over 3.5 billion

14. Nomura (Japan): more than 2 billion

15. Societe Generale (France): nearly 1.3 billion

16. First Horizon (USA): 900 million

17. General Electric (USA, parent company of GE Capital): 550 million

ALSO READ:

"Washington wants to pay the housing crisis on banks

"Bank of America pays the subprime crisis at a high price

"Buffett invests $ 5 billion in Bank of America

"The subprime continue to be expensive

"Fannie Mae also requires an extension in Washington

Moody's has in fact degraded by one notch (to Aa3) Note the long-term debt of Japan due to the massive debt the country, aggravated by the earthquake of March 11. In the process, the U.S. rating agency also lowered the rating of a crazn debt of large Japanese banks (Mizuho Bank, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking).While the title Mizuho is stable at 112 yen to the Tokyo Stock Exchange, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial loose 1.75% to 336 yen and Sumitomo was down 0.49% to 2198 yen.

Tokyo takes steps against the high cost of yen

While the yen regained some ground against the euro (110.52 yen per euro) and was stable against the dollar (76.70 yen to the dollar), the Japanese government also announced a series of measures exceptional to help companies: including facilities will be granted to them by creating a special fund of 100 billion dollars taken on the foreign exchange reserves to encourage them to invest abroad.

Despite this, the export value, including automobile manufacturers, continued to decline in stock: Honda lost 0.93% to 2,343 yen and Toyota gave up 0.86% to 2739 points.

Chinese financial markets, the Hang Seng lost 0.81% to 19.714.50 points while the CSI 300 gained 0.35% to 2830.83 points.

As for other Asian financial centers, the trend is also mixed: the Taiwan TAIEX was down 0.11% at 7541.80 points, the Kospi Index in Seoul lost 0.61% to 1765.78 points and the FTSE Straits Times of Singapore gives 0.48% to 2752.01 points. However, the BSE Sensex 30 Bombay is stable at 16,502.90 points and the S & P / ASX 200 advance 0.23% to 4182.80 points.

Oil prices rise

Oil prices were up Wednesday morning during electronic trading in Asia, with Brent who was close to 110 dollars a barrel because of uncertainty about the situation in Libya. In morning trading, a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery gained 50 cents to 109.81 dollars. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October was appreciating by 18 cents to 85.61 dollars.

There is no evidence that the economic activity that turn red in the United States. At fifteen months of the presidential election, 71% of Americans disapprove of the economic policies of Barack Obama. This is a record. Only one quarter of those polled by Gallup favorably consider his efforts in employment and public debt. In this context, the President of the United States promised to present to Congress in September, a plan intended to reconcile two seemingly contradictory goals: on one hand, stimulate demand and employment, on the other hand, sustained reduction the budget deficit.

"When Congress will return in September, my message is basically this: we do not have to choose between the reordering of our business budget or growth and employment. We must do both, "said Barack Obama, touring the Midwest.Aware that his reelection is played on its ability to convince centrist voters he represents the best alternative to save America from a serious relapse into recession, coupled with a public debt crisis, the president is preparing for a tough battle this fall.

To boost employment, Obama is considering various measures: the creation of a bank investing in public infrastructure projects, tax cuts for companies that hire a reform of unemployment compensation to support the training expenses.Without the intervention of Congress, the Treasury may also review the program ineffective assistance households renegotiate the terms of their mortgages to avoid eviction from their homes.

Convinced of his sincerity

For their part, Republicans who dominate the House of Representatives, show no desire to abandon their opposition to any form of stimulus spending, even in the short term. "We must stop this talk of new stimulus spending with money we do not," continues Eric Cantor, Republican leader of the House, as a response to the White House.

The purpose of Barack Obama is not so contradictory as it sounds. It is even consistent with the recommendations of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).This is to agree on a credible plan for long-term budget savings, while accepting the very near future new spending intended to strengthen a fragile situation. To convince his sincerity in spending cuts in the long term, the president has put pressure on the bipartisan Select Committee of Congress responsible for identifying 1.5 trillion dollars in savings over ten years, by the end of November . He hopes that it offers twice the spending cuts in the long term.

This implies, firstly, that one key to health costs. Now Barack Obama is prepared to do so, despite the opposition of elected Democrats. On the other hand, it would generate new tax revenues.To achieve this, while Republicans block any tax increase, the President hoped that the Committee will opt for a comprehensive reform of the tax code, eliminating popular deductions in exchange for a lower tax brackets for individuals and companies. It is further necessary that Barack Obama ahead of detailed proposals in this regard. He has not dared to do so far.

ALSO READ:

"Barack Obama open" air pocket "

"" If Obama has lost his magic, he is able to bounce back "